最近不少人给我反馈失业的问题。今天简单聊聊。
我说句残酷的话，随着 AI 能力的越强，短期内对岗位失业的冲击越严重。
其实这个观点，我在几个月前的直播就提到过，只是当时很多人不在意、不重视而已，而事实上，现在已经发生了。
原因很简单，本来全球经济整体环境就不好，而 AI 越强，越来越多的企业会逐步意识到，同样的活，根本不需要那么多人，大部分企业，岗位缩减一半，可能对公司的运营和商业没任何影响。
话虽然难听，但这就是残酷的事实。
本来按照经济周期发展规律，会逐步的，但是 AI 发展与进化速度，加快了这个过程变化的节奏。
所以，短期内，对岗位需求的冲击会非常大。别问我短期是多久，是半年，还是一年，还是两年，没人知道，没人可以预测。
AI 未来一定会创造新的生产关系和新的工作岗位和产出，只是现在还没有。
起码目前阶段，AI 主要就是在生产力的提效层面，而且也是在发生的事，而提效这件事，也是伴随着 AI 能力提升的。
现如今 AI 其实已经很强了，那么自然有越来越多的企业意识到，它的那点业务根本不需要那么多人。
怎么应对？
不知道，短期内我也不能帮大家搞定工作问题。我只能说，很快会有越来越多的企业意识到这件事，意识觉醒也是逐步的。
如果说给点建议的话，我的建议就以下几点：
- 对于个人，好好沉淀自己 AI 的底层能力，面向未来。
- 做好风险应对措施，万一真失业了，起码基本的生活有保障，减少高消费。
- 抛弃你过往依赖的引以为傲的行业经验和能力，完全拥抱 AI 时代新的工作方式，尽量让自己成为多维度全能人才，这是未来 AI 人才的基本要求。
- 对于企业来说，降本增效无论如何是你当下要面对的最大问题，尽快完成 AI 重塑工作流和业务。
如果很多人感知不到，没有风险意识不重要，这是面向未来的。
行业意识觉醒，企业重塑工作流都需要时间，无论任何时代，不可能所有人，所有行业都具备相关的能力的，这可能对我们来说是最好的消息，在这个时间差内，你决定做什么，能做到什么程度，就看每个人的具体行动了。
以上，个人观点，与诸位分享。
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I've had a lot of feedback on unemployment lately. Let's talk briefly today.
When I say cruel words, the more powerful AI is, the worse the impact on job unemployment in the short term.
In fact, I mentioned that point on the air a few months ago, but that was when a lot of people didn't care or care, and in fact it happened now.
The simple reason is that the overall global economic environment is not good, and the stronger AI, the more and more firms will realize that the same jobs, which are not needed at all, and that the majority of firms, with half their jobs, may have no impact on their operations and business.
It's hard to say, but it's a cruel fact.
It would have been gradual according to the pattern of economic cycles, but the pace of development and evolution of AI has accelerated the pace of change in the process.
So, in the short term, the impact on job demand will be enormous. Don't ask me how long, six months, a year or two, no one knows, no one can predict.
AI will certainly create new productive relationships and new jobs and outputs in the future, but not yet.
At least at this stage, AI is mainly at the productivity level, but it is also happening, and this effect is accompanied by AI capacity enhancement.
Now, AI is actually strong, and naturally, more and more companies realize that they don't need that many people at that point.
How?
I don't know. I can't help you with your work in the short term. I can only say that there will soon be more and more companies aware of this and that awareness will be gradual.
If there are some suggestions, my suggestions are as follows:
- For the individual, sank your AI's bottom capacity, looking forward.
- Risk response measures to reduce high consumption by providing a minimum of basic livelihood security in the event of unemployment.
- Discarding the proud professional experience and abilities on which you have relied, and fully embracing the new ways of working in the AI era and making yourself a full-fledged multi-dimensional talent, which is the basic requirement of the future AI talent.
- Reducing the efficiency gains is the biggest problem you'll have to face in the moment.
If many do not know, it is not important that there is no sense of risk, it is for the future.
The awakening of the industry and the time required for businesses to reshape workflow, and the fact that at any given time, it is impossible for everyone, and that all industries have the relevant capabilities, may be the best news for us. In this time lag, what you decide to do and to what extent you can do, depends on the concrete actions of everyone.
above, personal perspective, share with you.
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